By Mike Gruss
One theme that’s already emerging for the second half of the year? Launch capability.
That term doesn’t simply mean finding rockets to take satellites to orbit but also for the United States to have the infrastructure needed to get tens of thousands of new satellites to orbit.
Consider a report last month from the Commercial Space Federation and Rational Futures called “Scrubbed: America’s Launch Capacity Challenge.” The group threw out a giant figure: that as many 7,000 launches per year could be needed.
Two stories from the past week speak to the broader problem.
The first is that the U.S. Space Force is seeking potential users of a new launch site at Vandenberg Space Force Base reserved for smaller rockets.
The Space Force released a request for information June 8 seeking interest from launch vehicle operators in Space Launch Complex (SLC) 9, a proposed launch site at Vandenberg that would be used for small- and medium-class launch vehicles. Responses to the RFI are due July 8.
But as SpaceNews’ Jeff Foust wrote at the end of the story: The request “comes amid concerns about launch demand straining capacity at both Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral.”
The second is that sea-based launch — remember that? — is getting another look from the industry. From Sandra Erwin’s story in this month’s SpaceNews magazine:
Concerns that America’s launch infrastructure may not keep pace with rising demand are reviving interest in an unconventional workaround: sea-based rocket launch.
Long viewed as a technically difficult niche with a history of commercial failure, companies and defense officials are giving offshore launch a second look as they search for ways to expand United States launch capacity.
The story notes that policymakers could be forced to consider “non-traditional” launch sites, including inland and sea-based spaceports, to relieve pressure on Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida and Vandenberg Space Force Base in California.
Sandra interviews leaders at Seagate Space, a Florida startup founded in early 2025 by former maritime industry executives Michael Anderson and Sean Fortener, who previously worked at transportation and logistics company Crowley Maritime.
They’re eyeing an initial demonstration launch in 2028.
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