Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Editor's Choice: A look ahead to 2028


Plus: What's the midterm's impact on space?
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11/04/2026

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By Mike Gruss


Some of the nation’s most ambitious space programs are racing toward the same deadline: 2028. This week, SpaceNews published a series of stories on what’s in store.


For the Space Force, 2028 is something of a show-me year for the Pentagon’s military space ambitions, Sandra Erwin reported. That year will serve as a test of whether capabilities that have spent much of this decade in development can make the jump into orbit and, in some cases, into military operations.


There’s also the Golden Dome program. When President Trump unveiled the initiative in May 2025, he said Golden Dome should be fully operational before his term ends in January 2029. The Pentagon has since laid out a more limited near-term objective, with initial capabilities targeted for 2028 and a more comprehensive architecture extending well into the next decade.


For NASA, 2028 is a chance to define a generation of space exploration, Jeff Foust reported. 


NASA's plans now include two crewed lunar landings in 2028 along with about 10 robotic landings.


NASA has launched at most four robotic landers in a single year, in 1967 with the Surveyor program, and has not yet launched one this year. SR-1 is also scheduled to launch in late 2028 during a narrow window that also includes launches of NASA’s Mars Telecommunications Orbiter and the NASA-sponsored Rosalind Franklin Mars rover from ESA.


That urgency, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman argued, is needed to combat an “institutional inertia” he said has plagued NASA for decades, returning the agency to an Apollo-era mindset amid a new space race with China.


That push for 2028, of course, would also allow the Trump administration to take a victory lap for what would be among the most consequential acts in space for decades, and provide a crowning achievement for Isaacman. However, some say the most difficult tasks — including a number of firsts — remain. Others argue that trying to reach so many milestones by 2028 can put strains on the agency and industry, and that cracks are already starting to show.


Then there’s the commercial weather program at NOAA. Commercial weather satellite operators are watching the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s 2028 budget request for signs the agency is prepared to expand its purchases of commercial data.


Although NOAA’s Commercial Data Program (CDP) budget has grown in recent years, Debra Werner's reporting shows that industry executives are calling for a substantial increase in the administration’s 2028 budget request, saying it's needed to persuade investors to finance additional commercial weather satellites.


It’s all … a lot. 


With roughly two years to go, the clock is ticking.


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MIDTERM RESULTS


Following yesterday’s midterms election and Democrats’ victory in the House of Representatives and Senate, a natural question is: what does this mean for the space community?


SpaceNews’ Sandra Erwin tackled some of these issues in a story late last week.


Consider some of the largest factors:


The Space Force budget, which the White House in its budget proposed funding partially via reconciliation. From Sandra's reporting:


At [a recent event], Ronald Epstein, Bank of America’s aerospace and defense equity analyst, singled out the proposed Space Force budget.


“Now, is it all going to pass? That’s a whole different story, right?” he said, referring to the elections and the administration’s reliance on reconciliation funding.


The concern is not necessarily that a Democratic Congress would oppose military space investment. Satellite communications, missile warning, navigation, surveillance and intelligence collection have broad support in both parties. The more immediate question is whether Congress will support the administration’s proposed pace of expansion. 


The Golden Dome initiative


A Democratic majority could demand more detailed information before approving additional funding, particularly for orbital interceptors. Lawmakers could also attach conditions requiring testing milestones, cost estimates or acquisition plans before money is released.


New leadership


Rep. Adam Smith of Washington, currently the senior Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, would be positioned to become chairman. Rep. Betty McCollum of Minnesota could lead the House defense appropriations subcommittee, while Rep. Jim Himes of Connecticut could take over the House Intelligence Committee.

Trending This Week


Operators on the ground successfully directed a satellite on orbit with a voice command for the first time.


Starfish Space says its first Otter servicing spacecraft failed shortly after launch when a fault protection system on the satellite blocked communications.


NASA is restarting a search for commercial missions to reboost or service the Hubble Space Telescope, more than two years after concluding existing options were too risky.


China will fly a standalone Lanyue lunar lander mission and a full-scale uncrewed landing rehearsal before attempting to land astronauts on the moon before 2030.


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Starfish Space's first Otter spacecraft fails

Plus: Astrolab expands from lunar rovers
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11/04/2026

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Get your tickets to the 2026 Icon Awards. Early bird rate extended through Nov. 6. Join us in D.C. on Dec. 1 to celebrate this year's winners. Secure your spot.

By Jeff Foust


In today's edition: Starfish Space's first Otter spacecraft fails, China signs a deal to build AI-enabled satellites for Oman, Astrolab expands from lunar rovers to power and communications and more. 


If someone forwarded you this edition, sign up to receive it in your inbox every weekday. Have thoughts or feedback? You can hit reply to let me know.


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Register to join SpaceNews and RTX on Thursday: Satellite operations are growing more complex. For national security missions, that means faster decisionmaking, greater resilience and the ability to adapt on orbit is needed. Join us on Nov. 5 for a conversation exploring how emerging technologies and commercial capabilities are transforming satellite operations and enabling more dynamic, resilient and affordable national security space missions. Register now.

Top Stories


Starfish Space's first Otter spacecraft has failed in orbit just weeks after its launch. The satellite servicing company said Tuesday that it lost contact with the Otter spacecraft, launched Oct. 1 on a rideshare mission. The company concluded that the fault protection system on the spacecraft bus turned off the radio and kept it from reestablishing communications, and that the Otter is "not recoverable." The spacecraft was flying a mission for NASA called Small Spacecraft Propulsion and Inspection Capability (SSPICY), where it planned to approach several other space objects and potentially dock with one as a demonstration of its satellite servicing capabilities. Starfish said it is working with Astro Digital, which produced the bus, to correct the problem on several other Otter spacecraft in production. [SpaceNews]


Chinese company Star Vision signed agreements to develop an "AI-enabled" satellite constellation for the government of Oman. The agreement with Omani company Oman Lens was signed Monday in Beijing during a state visit by the sultan of Oman. Star Vision says the deal covers 20 satellites for space computing, although reports in Omani media state that the satellite agreement covers two phases beginning with seven satellites, with a second phase contingent on the success of the first. The constellation deal builds on the OL-1 Omani remote sensing and AI demo satellite, developed in part by Star Vision, with an onboard AI processing payload, that launched two years ago. [SpaceNews]


Lunar rover developer Astrolab is expanding into power and communications. The company announced Wednesday the Lunar Utility Module for Industrial Services (LUMIS), which will include a vertical solar array and batteries along with local and direct-to-Earth communications. LUMIS is designed to be deployed on the moon by Astrolab's FLEX cargo rover. A network of LUMIS nodes could provide power and communications for NASA's lunar base as well as commercial users. The company plans to fly an initial LUMIS demonstration node, capable of producing 2 kilowatts of power, on a commercial Starship lander mission as soon as 2028. [SpaceNews]


Voyager Technologies is pleased so far with its acquisition of lunar lander company Astrobotic. In an earnings call Tuesday, Voyager executives said the acquisition this summer "meaningfully expanded" its lunar capabilities. Astrobotic provided $31 million in revenue to Voyager in the third quarter, more than expected, although executives said that was primarily a shift in timing of planned revenue from the fourth quarter. The Griffin-1 lander Astrobotic developed is being prepared for launch, although officials on the call did not give a specific launch date or commit to flying the mission by the end of the year as previously planned. Voyager executives also said on the call they felt confident about the position of Starlab Space, the commercial space station joint venture that Voyager owns a majority stake in, for NASA's Commercial LEO Destinations competition. [SpaceNews]


Controllers successfully operated a satellite in orbit using only voice commands. In July, Oslo-based amateur radio operators sent a voice command to the European Space Agency's three-year-old CubeSat OPS-SAT PRETTY. Engineers say that while operating satellites with voice commands is unlikely to become a standard practice, there is potential for training satellites to recognize and respond to the "unstructured and unpredictable" patterns of the human voice versus just predefined patterns and formats in radio signals. [SpaceNews]


Other News


Democrats will have control of both houses of Congress next year after sweeping wins in midterm elections Tuesday. Democrats will have at least 54 seats in the Senate and 228 in the House, with a number of races yet to be called. Democratic control of Congress could have implications for both NASA's space science and exploration programs as well as plans to increase military space spending and fund the Golden Dome missile defense system. [Washington Post | SpaceNews]


The next two years will be critical for Golden Dome and other military space programs. When President Trump unveiled Golden Dome in May 2025, he said it should be fully operational before his term ends in January 2029. The Pentagon has since laid out a more limited near-term objective, with initial capabilities targeted for 2028, including work on space-based interceptors. By 2028, the Pentagon also expects to have made significant progress shifting surveillance missions traditionally performed by aircraft into space, while the Space Development Agency completes deployment of the first generations of the Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture, a network of communications and missile-tracking satellites linked by lasers in LEO. [SpaceNews]


2028 will be a critical year for NASA's space exploration ambitions. The agency continues to plan to have the first Artemis crewed landing in 2028 even as the architecture for those missions is adjusted. NASA is also expecting to launch a nuclear propulsion demonstration mission in late 2028, although NASA has provided limited details about progress on the mission and its schedule. Multiple robotic lunar lander missions are also scheduled for 2028, even as companies struggle to launch and successfully land such spacecraft. [SpaceNews]


Companies offering commercial weather services are waiting to see what NOAA's budgets will look like over the next two years for buying such services. Although NOAA's Commercial Data Program (CDP) budget has grown in recent years, industry executives say a substantial increase in the administration's 2028 budget request is needed to persuade investors to finance additional commercial weather satellites. Recent comments by NOAA officials have raised hopes among industry leaders that funding will increase. NOAA selected 14 companies in September for its Space-Based Environmental Monitoring (SBEM) IDIQ contract, with a ceiling of $2.35 billion over 10 years. [SpaceNews]


The head of ESA is in the Middle East this week looking for new partners for the agency's programs. Josef Aschbacher said he hopes to increase ties with the United Arab Emirates that could lead to a formal framework agreement for cooperation on space programs. It is part of efforts by ESA to diversify its international partnerships and be less reliant on the United States after NASA canceled the lunar Gateway and Mars Sample Return programs, which had significant European contributions. [Reuters]


There's Always 2028


"Guess my election-interfering space lasers didn’t work this time 🤷‍♂️"


– SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, in a social media post early Wednesday after Democrats scored major victories in the midterm elections. Musk spent nearly half a billion dollars on ads for various races, largely for candidates who lost. [X @elonmusk]


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Editor's Choice: A look ahead to 2028

Plus: What's the midterm's impact on space?  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ...