By Dan Robitzski
All eyes are on Europe this week as the European Space Agency begins its long-anticipated CM25 ministerial, where member nations will hash out their priorities and contributions to the continental space program.
Big changes are expected: With the Russia-Ukraine war continuing, Europe has signaled that it's embracing the militarization of space through dual-use technologies; and with a less reliable partner in the United States, Europe has also signaled a desire to bolster its own sovereign capabilities in space. That means not having to rely on other countries' space programs or on non-European companies like SpaceX.
ESA chief Josef Aschbacher told us in a September interview that he is preparing for "a very intense negotiation with all our member states" as he goes into the ministerial, where he hopes to make his ambitious funding asks (expected to be roughly 22 billion euros, which is $25.5 billion) attractive for the continent and individual countries alike.
SpaceNews' Jeff Foust wrote from Bremen this morning that Aschbacher said, "We are in really good shape. The spirit is good. We are on a good track, and we are working very well."
In addition, Emma Gatti, also in Bremen, wrote about that on the first day of the event, "even as ESA leaders push for unity, officials from those countries have hinted that their backing is driven by sharply different national priorities."
A few other early signs: - Germany has already ramped up its domestic military space budget. And while that raised questions about whether the country would also be willing to up its ESA spend, industry speculation suggests that it will. - Similarly, rumors that Italy may pursue a deal with SpaceX's Starlink over Europe's planned IRIS² constellation may have been exaggerated, as we reported in September, and the country also seems to remain committed to the ESA coalition. - ESA has also advanced its Argonaut lunar lander program, initially funded during the previous ministerial in 2022, by announcing a Thales Alenia Space-led consortium behind the project. While specific payloads will need to be funded this time around, it indicates the exact kind of increased commercial participation Aschbacher is hoping to promote.
With negotiations set to continue over the next few days, the big unanswered questions will be what programs get funded or scrapped, and who's picking up the bill.
By the way, we recently launched our new Europe Report newsletter, highlighting the latest news from our cadre of European reporters. We'll send a special edition this Friday recapping the ministerial. You can sign up here, and check SpaceNews.com for our latest reporting.
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