Tuesday, May 20, 2025

Military Space: Golden Dome could come with sticker shock

The border is the new battlefield for U.S. spies
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By Sandra Erwin


Welcome to this week's edition of SpaceNews' Military Space, your source for the latest developments at the intersection of space and national security. In today's edition: Golden Dome — technologies are still on the drawing board but costs and political support uncertain.


If someone forwarded you this edition, sign up to receive it directly in your inbox every Tuesday. And we're eager to hear your feedback and suggestions. You can hit reply to let me know directly.


Secretary of the Air Force Troy Meink was sworn in on Friday, May 16 following his Senate confirmation May 13. "I am humbled and excited to be the 27th Secretary of the Air Force. I'd like to thank President Trump for the chance to work for our Total Force Airmen & Guardians supporting our Nation's defense," Meink said in a social media post. Credit: U.S. Air Force

Golden Dome plans move forward but questions loom


Senior Space Force leaders confirmed last week that President Trump's Golden Dome missile defense initiative is moving through the early concept phase, with next moves to be decided by the White House. "We're still in the early planning of it, trying to think about it at a high level," said Gen. Chance Saltzman, chief of space operations.


Golden Dome aims to defend against ballistic, hypersonic and cruise missile threats using a patchwork of space-based and ground systems. But don't think of it as a traditional weapons program. "You don't buy Golden Dome," Saltzman explained. "You orchestrate it."


'Sticker shock' — Some initial estimates have put costs north of $500 billion, but Saltzman warns the real number could be higher. "I've never seen an early estimate that was too high," he said. Sen. Tim Sheehy (R-Mont.) floated an eye-popping potential: trillions. The fiscal year 2026 Pentagon budget is expected to include preliminary funding, Space Force Lt. Gen. Shawn Bratton said last week.


Technical gauntlet — One of the toughest hurdles? Intercepting missiles in the boost phase — a feat never before pulled off from space. "Really hard thing to do … and we're gonna do it or figure it out," Bratton said.


Political headwinds — Golden Dome is already drawing fire from Democrats worried about deterrence and feasibility. "We're not sure it's going to work," Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) said.


Reed rips 'slush fund' — Sen. Jack Reed (D-R.I.), ranking Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee, slammed the GOP-backed plan to bankroll Golden Dome through a $150 billion reconciliation bill, calling it "essentially a slush fund." Speaking at a Defense Writers Group teleconference, Reed said the maneuver would undercut Congress' constitutional budget authority and strip lawmakers of key oversight.


On Golden Dome itself, Reed struck a cautious tone: "They have to identify the technologies, they have to go ahead and design an integrated plan — that's still a work in progress." He also raised red flags about the rumored role of Elon Musk's Starlink network as a communications backbone for Golden Dome, calling the use of non-military contractors in sensitive communications "a security risk" given the service's global user base.


Industry call to arms — The Missile Defense Agency and Space Force are co-hosting a "Golden Dome for America" Industry Summit next month in Huntsville, Ala., to court commercial tech companies — especially those outside the traditional defense sphere. According to the solicitation, "Non-traditional contractors are highly encouraged to attend" as MDA looks for "outside the box" thinking to shape the future of missile defense. The summit will also brief attendees on how MDA and Space Force roles align within the broader Golden Dome framework.


Speed vs. systems — Critics say the Pentagon's traditional acquisition pipeline could doom the program. "If [DoD] tries to do this using the 5000 regulations and [Joint Capabilities Integration and Development System] process, it will fail," warned Booz Allen executive Chris Bogdan, calling for a czar with bypass authority to fast-track progress.


Industry ready to swarm — Booz Allen is pitching a concept called "Brilliant Swarms," featuring hundreds of AI-powered microsatellites that detect and destroy incoming threats. The firm said it's already drawing interest from over 40 companies across the space sector.


A shift in U.S. intelligence priorities


Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard on Monday announced what she called "the biggest shift in collection priorities in ODNI history." The focus: border security and counternarcotics.


Speaking at the GEOINT Symposium, Gabbard outlined a Trump administration-driven realignment of collection assets, emphasizing domestic surveillance at U.S. borders while preserving global intelligence coverage. 


The pivot will ripple through all 18 U.S. intelligence agencies and impact thousands of geospatial intel professionals that use satellites and other platforms to collect intelligence. 


Behind the curtain: Gabbard acknowledged long-standing frustrations among military and congressional intelligence consumers — herself included. "I've been on the other end of intel products. They've often lacked timeliness, relevance, or objectivity," she said, noting the sentiment is shared widely on the Hill.


Funding and tech friction: Gabbard hinted at continued pressure to streamline and reduce duplication, especially in tech procurement. The private sector has already solved many problems better and faster, she said, hinting at a revamp of IC acquisition practices.


AI and OSINT: Gabbard urged faster integration of artificial intelligence and open-source intelligence  across the community. But she warned of a steep learning curve: There's a fear of AI rooted in a lack of understanding, she said. Her message: Analysts shouldn't fear AI, they should master it.


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FROM SPACENEWS

"There's no longer a fire season — it's always fire": Tune in to a special episode of Space Minds recorded at this week's 2025 GEOINT Symposium for Mike Gruss' conversation with Ronda Schrenk, CEO of the U.S. Geospatial Intelligence Foundation. Listen to the latest episode on SpaceNews.com, YouTube or wherever you listen to your favorite podcasts, and be sure to subscribe for updates all week with more special guests at the 2025 GEOINT Symposium.

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