Thursday, December 5, 2024

AI in Space and Beyond: Europa, Forecasting, and Musk’s Shadow

This week: NASA advances Europa AI, Seagate redefines orbit tech, and Musk's influence dominates DealBook—without even attending.
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 🤖 AI Insights from the Brains at SpaceNews 🧠

12/05/2024

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Exploring Space AI: From Ocean Worlds to Orbit


Welcome to this week's edition of SpaceNext: AI, where we dive into the latest breakthroughs at the intersection of artificial intelligence and space exploration. From preparing Europa's icy surface for robotic landers to revolutionizing satellite autonomy with next-gen storage solutions, AI is reshaping how we explore the cosmos. We'll also recap a key discussion on the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency's massive AI investment and its implications for the space industry.


Keep reading for the highlights—and don't forget to subscribe to keep up with every new frontier in space and AI.



Ad Astra et Ultra, Cum AI 🤖🚀

— Brian Berger, SpaceNews editor-in-chief


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"Attempt No Landing There" — AI Results Pave the Way for Europa Exploration


Arthur C. Clarke famously warned humanity to "attempt no landing" on Europa in his novel 2010: Odyssey Two. But seven weeks after NASA's Europa Clipper launched aboard a Falcon Heavy, researchers are reporting results from groundbreaking programs that could make landings on Europa's icy surface possible—using advanced AI.


NASA recently completed six research projects under its Autonomous Robotics Research for Ocean Worlds (ARROW) and Concepts for Ocean Worlds Life Detection Technology (COLDTech) programs. Conducted at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in California and Ames Research Center in Silicon Valley, these projects used physical and virtual testbeds—OWLAT (Ocean Worlds Lander Autonomy Testbed) and OceanWATERS (Ocean Worlds Autonomy Testbed for Exploration, Research, and Simulation)—to advance AI technologies critical for autonomous robotic exploration.


🔗 Key Results:

Causal Reasoning: AI tools were developed to autonomously detect and resolve faults, such as ice buildup on robotic arms, ensuring continued operations.

Reinforcement Learning: Algorithms were created to help robots make optimal decisions about sampling and navigation in unpredictable environments.

Testbed Validation: OWLAT (a robotic simulation platform) and OceanWATERS (a virtual environment replicating Europa-like conditions) proved essential for testing and refining autonomy solutions before deployment.


These completed projects, supported by contractors such as KBR Wyle Services LLC, mark a significant step toward preparing robotic landers to explore Europa's surface autonomously. As Europa Clipper begins its six-year journey to study the moon's habitability from orbit, these advancements ensure the next missions will be ready to dig deeper into Europa's mysteries.


Verbatim

"These testbeds allow us to push the boundaries of AI-driven autonomy, testing how robotic landers could operate independently in harsh environments like Europa's surface. We're building the tools that will one day allow us to search for signs of life in places we've never explored before." — Hari Nayar, NASA JPL


👉 Learn More: Read about OWLAT, OceanWATERS, and NASA's achievements on the NASA Science blog.





💾 More Data Storage, More Space AI: Smarter Spacecraft Take Shape


The next wave of space AI will require more than cutting-edge algorithms—it depends on powerful data storage systems to process vast amounts of information directly in orbit. Seagate is leading the charge with a 4-terabyte solid-state drive (SSD) currently undergoing tests outside the International Space Station (ISS).


Breaking Ground in Space Storage:

Capacity Leap: The 4TB SSD outpaces existing space-grade drives, which often max out in gigabyte ranges. This upgrade is pivotal for handling large datasets used in AI training and inference.

Environmental Testing: Early telemetry reveals the space environment may be less harsh than feared, with stress tests continuing through next year.

Commercial Timeline: Seagate plans to refine the device in 2025 and release it to low Earth orbit (LEO) operators by 2026.


"Having a large pool of data available, augmented with AI processing hardware, opens new applications for space," says Seagate's Jon Trantham.


Onboard Autonomy for Smarter Missions:

AI and advanced storage unlock autonomy for satellites, critical for:

Real-Time Operations: Perishable data like climate monitoring or disaster response benefits from faster, onboard AI processing.

Complex Missions: Autonomous coordination of spacecraft, like Europa exploration or "tip and cue" satellite networks, is now within reach.


As Seagate pushes capacity boundaries, and AI advances onboard autonomy, the space industry is set for smarter, faster, and more efficient missions.


📖 Dive deeper: Jason Rainbow explores the implications of onboard AI and data storage in the November issue of SpaceNews. Read now



$700M Data Labeling Effort Tackles Geospatial Intelligence's Biggest Challenges


Last month, SpaceNews brought together leading voices in geospatial intelligence to discuss the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency's (NGA) historic $700 million data-labeling initiative. NGA describes it as the largest data-labeling investment in U.S. government history, and it's poised to reshape AI's role in processing massive datasets. Here are the key takeaways:


1. Tackling Data Overload

"Earth observation systems collect 1.8 petabytes of data daily. The task before us is to turn that torrent into actionable intelligence."

David Gauthier, GXO, Inc.


The initiative will leverage NGA's 50-year archive of satellite imagery to train AI models, unlocking patterns that manual analysis could never achieve at this scale.


2. The Role of Synthetic Data

"Synthetic data can fill gaps in our labeling processes, creating realistic training sets faster and with less reliance on human input."

Gary Dunow, USGIF


Synthetic data emerged as a key strategy to meet the demand for labeled datasets, which panelists noted as a persistent bottleneck in AI development.


3. Ethical Considerations and Human Oversight

"AI isn't a 'set it and forget it' solution. Human oversight will always be critical, especially for high-stakes decisions like hypersonic threat detection."

Gary Dunow, USGIF


Panelists emphasized the importance of maintaining accountability in AI-driven systems, particularly in defense and intelligence.


4. Space Spatial Intelligence

"There's terrain in space—gravitational fields, debris, and future borders on the Moon. We need to apply geospatial principles to this new domain."

David Gauthier, GXO, Inc.


The initiative also sets the stage for extending geospatial intelligence to emerging frontiers like orbital debris tracking and lunar exploration.


Why It Matters:

The NGA's $700 million investment isn't just about improving AI—it's about redefining how the GEOINT community processes and acts on data in an increasingly complex world.


🎥 Watch the Full Webinar Replay on YouTube

Explore these insights and more from our expert panelists, moderated by SpaceNews Host David Ariosto.




Google's GenCast Validates 15-Day Forecasting Potential in Nature


DeepMind's GenCast has demonstrated the ability to extend weather forecasting reliability to 15 days in a research setting, a breakthrough validated by the peer-reviewed journal Nature. For context, the weather forecasts on your phone are typically accurate about 90% of the time for several days out, but by day 10, their accuracy drops to around 50%.


In comparative testing with historical data, GenCast consistently outperformed the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the current global standard, in predicting atmospheric patterns over two weeks. While it's too early to say if GenCast can match the real-world reliability of today's 5- to 7-day forecasts, the results highlight its potential to reshape long-range meteorology.


Rémi Lam, a co-author and DeepMind scientist, described the progress as rapid. "It's like we've made decades worth of improvements in one year," Lam told the New York Times. GenCast remains in the research phase, and deploying it in operational systems like those used by EUMETSAT or the National Weather Service will require extensive testing and adaptation. DeepMind's decision to make the model and code publicly available may accelerate this process, but widespread use is likely years away. For now, GenCast underscores the transformative promise of AI in improving extreme weather prediction and preparedness.




Musk Looms Large at NYT's DealBook Summit


Last year, Elon Musk shocked the New York Times DealBook Summit by telling advertisers to "go f*** themselves" after they pulled spending from X (formerly Twitter) over his endorsement of an antisemitic conspiracy theory. This year, Musk wasn't in attendance, but his presence was still felt as rivals Sam Altman and Jeff Bezos addressed the potential impacts of his growing political clout.


Altman, CEO of OpenAI, downplayed concerns about Musk's influence on the Trump administration and his rival AI company, xAI. "I believe pretty strongly that Elon will do the right thing and that it would be profoundly un-American to use political power to hurt competitors," Altman said Dec.4, even as Musk sues OpenAI over its pivot toward for-profit operations.


Bezos, founder of Blue Origin and Amazon, offered a similarly measured take. While Musk's SpaceX is Blue Origin's biggest competitor, Bezos expressed cautious optimism about Musk's ethics, saying, "I've had a lot of success in life not being cynical."


For more insights, read our coverage of Jeff Bezos' DealBook interview on SpaceNews.

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SpaceNext AI is a weekly newsletter on how artificial intelligence is reshaping the space industry, delivering sharp, insightful updates on AI's role in space exploration and technology.


How We Use AI 

AI assists with research and drafting, but each insight is carefully reviewed and refined by me to keep our content accurate, engaging, and relevant.

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CST: Peter Connito

Check out the latest episode of Commercial Space Transformersour new video series featuring conversations between SpaceNews Senior Staff Writer Jason Rainbow and the people driving the space industry's commercial transformation. This week, Redwire CEO and Chairman Peter Connito discusses Redwire's growth strategies, acquisition criteria, and positioning in the space industry.


Watch out for new episodes every Tuesday on SpaceNews.com and on the SpaceNews YouTube channel.



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